In his testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, boldly declared: âYou called me a dove. Well, maybe in some respects I am, but on the other hand, my inflation record is the best of any Federal Reserve chairman in the postwar period, or at least one of the best, about 2 percent average inflation.â (To which the Twitterverse responded, #ohsnap.)
Does he really have the best inflation record Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan Chase, crunched the numbers.
âIf the definition of âbestâ is 2 percent inflation, then itâs hard to question his record, as he is spot on that number,â Mr. Feroli wrote in a note to clients.
Other Fed chairmen have had lower inflation rates; Eugene Meyerâs tenure, from 1930 to 1933, averaged negative 9 percent inflation, whch is not exactly desirable. But Mr. Feroli calculates that no one in the postwar period had a lower inflation track record.
Here are his calculations for the average rate of inflation for Fed chairmen, using the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index for as far back as it goes (to 1947) and the headline Consumer Price Index in the years before then:
Chairman | Years | Average inflation rate (%) |
Daniel R. Crissinger | 1923-27 | 0.9 |
Roy A. Young | 1927-30 | -0.9 |
Eugene Meyer | 1930-33 | -9 |
Eugene Black | 1933-34 | 1.3 |
Marriner Eccles | 1934-48 | 3.6 |
Thomas McCabe | 1948-51 | 2.6 |
William McChesney Martin Jr. | 1951-70 | 2.2 |
Arthur F. Burns | 1970-78 | 6.2 |
G. William Miller | 1978-79 | 8.8 |
Paul Volcker | 1979-87 | 5.3 |
Alan Greenspan | 1987-2006 | 2.6 |
Ben S. Bernanke | 2006-Present | 2 |
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